Tennis · Challenger Como · 30/08, 14:30
Prediction: Matteo Covato vs Fausto Tabacco
Team pages: Matteo Covato · Fausto Tabacco
Prediction summary
Winner
Matteo Covato
Fausto Tabacco
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Matteo Covato
1-9 (W-L)
Fausto Tabacco
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matteo Covato 1390 · Fausto Tabacco 1555
| Matteo Covato | Fausto Tabacco | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 72% |
| Market | 11% | 89% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fausto Tabacco (rating 1390 vs 1555).
- Fausto Tabacco is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Fausto Tabacco makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Matteo Covato | Fausto Tabacco | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 0% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (4) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.2-2 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.1-12.8 | 11.1-10.6 |
| Aces | 4.6 | 2 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 59% | 62.5% |
| Break % | 22.5% | 34.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matteo Covato
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Luca Wiedenmann M25 Oldenzaal |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Denis Yevseyev M25 Ueberlingen |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Adrien Berrut M25 Muttenz |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 29/07 | Joshua Peck M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Oliver Sanders M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Jesse Delaney Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Justin Schlageter M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 16/06 | Noah Karma M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 09/06 | Jan Kumstat M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Richard Antoni M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Fausto Tabacco
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Daniele Rapagnetta Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Francesco Forti Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 27/06 | Federico Arnaboldi M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Matthew William Donald M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-4 | W |
| 25/06 | Federico Iannaccone M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Leonardo Malgaroli M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 20/06 | Georgii Kravchenko M25 Milano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Petr Nesterov M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 17/06 | Luca Potenza M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Kirill Kivattsev M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matteo Covato vs Fausto Tabacco?
Our model gives 81% to Fausto Tabacco, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.