Tennis · Challenger Como · 30/08, 10:00
Prediction: Lorenzo Angelini vs Laurent Lokoli
Team pages: Lorenzo Angelini · Laurent Lokoli
Prediction summary
Winner
Lorenzo Angelini
Laurent Lokoli
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Lorenzo Angelini
7-3 (W-L)
Laurent Lokoli
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lorenzo Angelini 1513 · Laurent Lokoli 1628
| Lorenzo Angelini | Laurent Lokoli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Laurent Lokoli (rating 1513 vs 1628).
- Laurent Lokoli is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Lorenzo Angelini | Laurent Lokoli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (4) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.8-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-9.4 | 12.1-6.5 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 58.5% | 72.3% |
| Break % | 52.2% | 52.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lorenzo Angelini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Daniel Verbeek M25 Oldenzaal |
1-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Steffan Van Weldam M25 Oldenzaal |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 26/08 | Stan Put M25 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Maxime Janvier Challenger San Marino · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 24/07 | Pavel Lagutin M25 Denia |
0-1 | 2-6 | L |
| 23/07 | Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento M25 Denia |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/07 | Andres Santamarta Roig M25 Denia |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/07 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Laurent Lokoli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Pierluigi Basile M25 Lesa |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 23/08 | Samuele Seghetti M25 Lesa |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 22/08 | Daniele Rapagnetta M25 Lesa |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/08 | Denis Constantin Spiridon M25 Lesa |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/08 | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini M25 Lesa |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/08 | Mickael Kaouk M25 Koksijde |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Martin Riu M25 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 12/07 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/07 | Florent Bax M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/07 | Rodrigo Alujas M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Angelini vs Laurent Lokoli?
Our model gives 73% to Laurent Lokoli, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.