Tennis · Challenger Como · 02/09, 10:00
Prediction: Matej Dodig vs Mili Poljicak
Team pages: Matej Dodig · Mili Poljicak
Prediction summary
Winner
Matej Dodig
Mili Poljicak
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Matej Dodig
8-2 (W-L)
Mili Poljicak
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matej Dodig 1550 · Mili Poljicak 1559
| Matej Dodig | Mili Poljicak | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Matej Dodig | Mili Poljicak | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-10.8 | 12.1-11 |
| Aces | 6 | 7.2 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 75.6% | 75% |
| Break % | 33.1% | 26.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matej Dodig
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/08 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Hagen · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 04/08 | Stefano Travaglia Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/08 | Oleksii Krutykh Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/08 | Jannik Opitz Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Pablo Carreno Busta ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 11/07 | Henri Squire Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Mili Poljicak
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Slovenj Gradec |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Vaal Urankar M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/08 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/07 | Alexandre Muller Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 29/07 | Nikoloz Basilashvili Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 28/07 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 27/07 | Jozef Kovalik Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/07 | Enrico Baldisserri Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matej Dodig vs Mili Poljicak?
Our model gives 54% to Matej Dodig, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.