Tennis · Challenger Como · 02/09, 10:00
Prediction: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Max Schoenhaus
Team pages: Alvaro Guillen Meza · Max Schoenhaus
Prediction summary
Winner
Alvaro Guillen Meza
Max Schoenhaus
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Alvaro Guillen Meza
4-6 (W-L)
Max Schoenhaus
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alvaro Guillen Meza 1404 · Max Schoenhaus 1462
| Alvaro Guillen Meza | Max Schoenhaus | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Max Schoenhaus (rating 1404 vs 1462).
- Note: Alvaro Guillen Meza makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Alvaro Guillen Meza | Max Schoenhaus | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 13% (8) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.8 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-14.7 | 9.8-11.6 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 64.4% | 69.6% |
| Break % | 40.9% | 24.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alvaro Guillen Meza
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/08 | Igor Marcondes Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 06/07 | Henri Squire Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 29/06 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 24/06 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Radu Mihai Papoe Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 16/06 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 11/06 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
Max Schoenhaus
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Daniel Masur Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 24/08 | Mili Poljicak Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/08 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Marko Topo Challenger Hagen · Clay |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 28/07 | Federico Agustin Gomez Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Max Houkes Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Andres Santamarta Roig Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Laslo Djere Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Roman Andres Burruchaga Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/06 | Learner Tien ATP Halle · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Max Schoenhaus?
Our model gives 62% to Max Schoenhaus, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.