Tennis · Challenger Como · 02/09, 10:00
Prediction: Gonzalo Bueno vs Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
Team pages: Gonzalo Bueno · Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
Prediction summary
Winner
Gonzalo Bueno
Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Gonzalo Bueno
5-5 (W-L)
Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Gonzalo Bueno
1–5
Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
(6 last)
- 08 Nov0-2 7-12L
- 22 Jul0-2 4-12L
- 13 Jun0-2 6-12L
- 12 Jun0-2 10-13L
- 13 Jan2-0 12-8W
- 21 Nov0-2 12-14L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gonzalo Bueno 1521 · Joao Lucas Reis da Silva 1455
| Gonzalo Bueno | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gonzalo Bueno (rating 1521 vs 1455).
- Gonzalo Bueno is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Gonzalo Bueno 1–5 Joao Lucas Reis da Silva (6).
Statistics
| Gonzalo Bueno | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-10.5 | 9.8-12.2 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 64.2% | 68.4% |
| Break % | 42.7% | 29.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
H2H · Gonzalo Bueno 1 – 5 Joao Lucas Reis da Silva (6)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gonzalo Bueno 1–5 Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/25 Challenger Lima 2 | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/07/25 Challenger Tampere | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/06/25 Challenger Santa Fe | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/06/24 Challenger Lima | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/01/24 Challenger Buenos Aires | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/11/23 Challenger Brasilia | 0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gonzalo Bueno
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Billy Harris US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Valentin Royer Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Edward Winter Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/08 | Benjamin Willwerth Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 02/08 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Hynek Barton Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 28/07 | Pablo Martinez Gomez Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/07 | Jaime Faria ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Tiago Pereira ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Hynek Barton Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 22/06 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 18/06 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Martin Krumich Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Milos Karol Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 11/06 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Alexander Donski Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/06 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gonzalo Bueno vs Joao Lucas Reis da Silva?
Our model gives 58% to Gonzalo Bueno, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.