Tennis · Challenger Plovdiv · 01/09, 10:00
Prediction: Petr Brunclik vs Sebastian Sorger
Team pages: Petr Brunclik · Sebastian Sorger
Prediction summary
Winner
Petr Brunclik
Sebastian Sorger
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Petr Brunclik
6-4 (W-L)
Sebastian Sorger
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Petr Brunclik 1468 · Sebastian Sorger 1595
| Petr Brunclik | Sebastian Sorger | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 68% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sebastian Sorger (rating 1468 vs 1595).
- Sebastian Sorger is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Petr Brunclik makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Petr Brunclik | Sebastian Sorger | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (10) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.7-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-11.1 | 11.8-5.1 |
| Aces | 4.5 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 69.9% | 72.2% |
| Break % | 39.4% | 66.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Petr Brunclik
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Daniel Masur Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 06/08 | Yannick Theodor Alexandrescou Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Lorenzo Carboni Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 28/07 | William Rejchtman Vinciguerra Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/06 | Vitaliy Sachko Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 10/06 | Andrej Martin Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 09/06 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/05 | Jaime Faria Challenger Oeiras · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
Sebastian Sorger
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Samuele Pieri M25 Maribor |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 28/08 | Giuseppe La Vela M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/08 | Miha Vetrih M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/08 | Jan Kupcic M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 23/08 | Jonas Gundacker M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/08 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/08 | Luca Castagnola M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/08 | Karlo Kajin M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/08 | Simone Agostini M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 05/08 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Petr Brunclik vs Sebastian Sorger?
Our model gives 60% to Sebastian Sorger, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.