Tennis · Challenger Plovdiv · 01/09, 10:00
Prediction: Alexander Vasilev vs Juan Manuel La Serna
Team pages: Alexander Vasilev · Juan Manuel La Serna
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexander Vasilev
Juan Manuel La Serna
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Alexander Vasilev
3-7 (W-L)
Juan Manuel La Serna
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexander Vasilev 1497 · Juan Manuel La Serna 1509
| Alexander Vasilev | Juan Manuel La Serna | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Alexander Vasilev makes many double faults (7.5/match).
Statistics
| Alexander Vasilev | Juan Manuel La Serna | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-10.1 | 12.2-12.2 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 7.5 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 70.9% | 65.3% |
| Break % | 33.3% | 50.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexander Vasilev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Marat Sharipov M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 13/08 | George Lazarov M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-0 | 6-1 | W |
| 11/08 | Mihailo Savic M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 03/08 | Emilien Demanet Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Digvijay Pratap Singh Challenger Segovia · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 19/07 | Luca Castelnuovo Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Eliakim Coulibaly Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Kai Wehnelt Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Niels Visker Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Juan Manuel La Serna
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Hynek Barton Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 25/08 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 20/08 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger Sion · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 18/08 | Facundo Mena Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Ignacio Monzon Challenger Quito · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Alex Hernandez Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 27/06 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 18/06 | Conner Huertas Del Pino Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexander Vasilev vs Juan Manuel La Serna?
Our model gives 55% to Juan Manuel La Serna, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.