Tennis · Challenger Plovdiv · 01/09, 10:00
Prediction: Eric Vanshelboim vs Calvin Hemery
Team pages: Eric Vanshelboim · Calvin Hemery
Prediction summary
Winner
Eric Vanshelboim
Calvin Hemery
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Eric Vanshelboim
8-2 (W-L)
Calvin Hemery
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Eric Vanshelboim 1595 · Calvin Hemery 1476
| Eric Vanshelboim | Calvin Hemery | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eric Vanshelboim (rating 1595 vs 1476).
- Eric Vanshelboim is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Calvin Hemery makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Eric Vanshelboim | Calvin Hemery | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (1) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-9.5 | 12.6-12.6 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 63.7% | 72.2% |
| Break % | 51.5% | 49.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Eric Vanshelboim
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Daniel Verbeek M25 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 28/08 | Pieter De Lange M25 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 27/08 | Brian Bozemoj M25 Oldenzaal |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 25/08 | Marc Majdandzic M25 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/08 | Peter Buldorini Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 01/08 | Pavel Lagutin M15 Xativa |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Herman Hoeyeraal M15 Xativa |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 30/07 | Carles Cordoba M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Izan Orgiles Garcia Retamero M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/07 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez M25 Denia |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
Calvin Hemery
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Hynek Barton Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 19/08 | Mika Brunold Challenger Sion · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 18/08 | Kai Wehnelt Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 12/07 | Federico Cina ATP Gstaad · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Daniel Michalski ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 04/07 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 02/07 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/06 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/06 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 02/06 | Khololwam Montsi Challenger Centurion · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Eric Vanshelboim vs Calvin Hemery?
Our model gives 51% to Calvin Hemery, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.