Tennis · Challenger Plovdiv · 30/08, 09:30
Prediction: Amit Vales vs Vardan Manukyan
Team pages: Amit Vales · Vardan Manukyan
Prediction summary
Winner
Amit Vales
Vardan Manukyan
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Amit Vales
5-5 (W-L)
Vardan Manukyan
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Amit Vales 1551 · Vardan Manukyan 1439
| Amit Vales | Vardan Manukyan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Amit Vales (rating 1551 vs 1439).
- Vardan Manukyan dominates on serve: 6 aces and 67% break avg.
- Amit Vales is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Amit Vales makes many double faults (4/match).
- Note: Vardan Manukyan makes many double faults (7/match).
Statistics
| Amit Vales | Vardan Manukyan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.7-10.1 | 11.5-12.5 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 6 |
| Double faults | 4 | 7 |
| 1st serve % | 67.5% | 67% |
| Break % | 42.8% | 67% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Amit Vales
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Oskari Paldanius M15 Turku |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 14/08 | Arvid Nordquist M15 Turku |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 13/08 | Dimitris Azoidis M15 Turku |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 12/08 | Vesa Ahti M15 Turku |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 11/08 | Zach Stephens M15 Turku |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/08 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 04/08 | Alex Martinez Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/08 | S D Prajwal Dev Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 02/08 | Kristjan Tamm Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/07 | Johan Nikles Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Vardan Manukyan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Dusan Obradovic M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 09/04 | Calin Apostol UTR Pro Beograd · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 07/04 | George Lazarov UTR Pro Beograd · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/04 | Matthias Ujvary UTR Pro Beograd · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 07/03 | Twan Van Zijl UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 06/03 | Otso Martikainen UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/03 | James McGloughlin UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/03 | Elgin Khoeblal UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 03/03 | Stefan Cooper UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 25/02 | Arthur Bellegy M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Amit Vales vs Vardan Manukyan?
Our model gives 71% to Amit Vales, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.