Tennis · Challenger Plovdiv · 30/08, 11:00
Prediction: Togan Tokac vs Ergi Kirkin
Team pages: Togan Tokac · Ergi Kirkin
Prediction summary
Winner
Togan Tokac
Ergi Kirkin
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Togan Tokac
8-2 (W-L)
Ergi Kirkin
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Togan Tokac 1523 · Ergi Kirkin 1502
| Togan Tokac | Ergi Kirkin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 13% | 87% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Togan Tokac | Ergi Kirkin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-8 | 11.9-11.3 |
| Aces | 3 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 71.2% | 72.3% |
| Break % | 40.7% | 51.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Togan Tokac
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Semen Pankin Challenger Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Maxwell McKennon Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/07 | Yurii Dzhavakian Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/07 | Alaa Trifi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 15/07 | Arin Pallegar M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 07/07 | Andrea Bacaloni M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-10 | L |
| 01/11 | Tomas Pinho UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 31/10 | Gordon Gallagher UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/10 | Ethan Silva UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/10 | Khololwam Montsi UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Ergi Kirkin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Mika Brunold Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Tymur Bieldiugin M25 Ueberlingen |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 18/08 | David Eichenseher M25 Ueberlingen |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/08 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 10/08 | Federico Zeballos Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/08 | Boris Arias Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 03/08 | Oskari Paldanius Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 02/08 | Kacper Szymkowiak Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 28/07 | Paul Inchauspe Challenger Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Togan Tokac vs Ergi Kirkin?
Our model gives 69% to Ergi Kirkin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.