Tennis · US Open · 27/08, 20:00

Prediction: Liam Draxl vs Tristan Schoolkate

Team pages: Liam Draxl · Tristan Schoolkate

Prediction summary
Winner
50% 50%
Liam Draxl Tristan Schoolkate
Estimated games
23.5Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Liam Draxl 7-3 (W-L)
LWWWWLWLWW
Tristan Schoolkate 5-5 (W-L)
WWLLLLWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Liam Draxl 1533 · Tristan Schoolkate 1536
Liam DraxlTristan Schoolkate
Our model50%50%
Market50%50%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Liam DraxlTristan Schoolkate
Win %60%60%
Win % · Hard 60% (10) 63% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.4-11.6-1.1
Games (G-P)11.8-10.314.6-13.1
Aces4.57.9
Double faults33.2
1st serve %70.3%73%
Break %49%33.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.5 · Bet365 line 23.5
Over 23.5: 50% · 1.83 Under 23.5: 50% · 1.83

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Liam Draxl

LLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/08 Andrew Johnson
US Open · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
26/08 Nicolas Mejia
US Open · Hard
2-1 18-15 W
18/08 Andy Andrade
Challenger Kingston · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
04/08 Daniel Merida Aguilar
ATP Montreal · Hard
1-2 14-15 L
26/07 Toby Samuel
Challenger Winnipeg · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
25/07 Shintaro Mochizuki
Challenger Winnipeg · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
25/07 Clement Chidekh
Challenger Winnipeg · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
24/07 August Holmgren
Challenger Winnipeg · Hard
2-1 14-15 W
22/07 Millen Hurrion
Challenger Winnipeg · Hard
2-0 12-0 W
17/07 Arthur Gea
Challenger Granby · Hard
1-2 12-15 L

Tristan Schoolkate

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/08 Seong Chan Hong
US Open · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
26/08 Jack Secord
US Open · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
18/08 Stefanos Sakellaridis
Challenger Quebec City · Hard
1-2 15-16 L
17/08 Nicolas Arseneault
Challenger Quebec City · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
14/08 Andre Ilagan
Challenger Brownsburg · Hard
1-2 11-14 L
14/08 Quinn Vandecasteele
Challenger Brownsburg · Hard
2-1 14-12 W
13/08 Federico Cina
Challenger Brownsburg · Hard
2-1 16-16 W
14/07 Murphy Cassone
Challenger Granby · Hard
1-2 17-18 L
09/07 Arthur Gea
Challenger Newport · Grass
1-2 17-18 L
08/07 August Holmgren
Challenger Newport · Grass
2-1 18-13 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Liam Draxl vs Tristan Schoolkate?

Our model gives 50% to Liam Draxl, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.