Prediction: Lloyd Harris vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Team pages: Lloyd Harris · Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Prediction summary
Winner
Lloyd Harris
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Estimated games
23.9Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Lloyd Harris
6-4 (W-L)
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Lloyd Harris
1–0
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
(1 last)
- 14 Feb2-0 13-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lloyd Harris 1609 · Pablo Llamas Ruiz 1491
| Lloyd Harris | Pablo Llamas Ruiz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lloyd Harris (rating 1609 vs 1491).
- Lloyd Harris dominates on serve: 7.2 aces and 68.5% break avg.
- Lloyd Harris is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Lloyd Harris 1–0 Pablo Llamas Ruiz (1).
Statistics
| Lloyd Harris | Pablo Llamas Ruiz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.6 | 1.2-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.9-10.1 | 12.9-14.2 |
| Aces | 7.2 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 75.8% | 66.2% |
| Break % | 68.5% | 35.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.9 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1.4
Over 22.5: 60% · 1.80
Under 22.5: 40% · 1.90
H2H · Lloyd Harris 1 – 0 Pablo Llamas Ruiz (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lloyd Harris 1–0 Pablo Llamas Ruiz
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/26 Challenger Tenerife | 2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lloyd Harris
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Henrique Rocha US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 25/08 | Bernard Tomic US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 23/08 | Sebastian Baez Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Vit Kopriva Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/08 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/08 | Laslo Djere Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/08 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/08 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/08 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 14/08 | Harry Wendelken Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Vitaliy Sachko US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 25/08 | Alex Bolt US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 19/08 | Francisco Comesana Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/08 | Alexander Shevchenko ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Marcos Giron ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 29/07 | Keegan Rice Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 22/07 | Mark Lajal Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 21/07 | Bruno Kuzuhara Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Zachary Svajda Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 7-18 | L |
| 25/06 | Tristan Boyer Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 21-26 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lloyd Harris vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz?
Our model gives 61% to Lloyd Harris, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.