Prediction: Arthur Gea vs Nishesh Basavareddy
Team pages: Arthur Gea · Nishesh Basavareddy
Prediction summary
Winner
Arthur Gea
Nishesh Basavareddy
Estimated games
23.7Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Arthur Gea
7-3 (W-L)
Nishesh Basavareddy
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arthur Gea 1616 · Nishesh Basavareddy 1528
| Arthur Gea | Nishesh Basavareddy | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arthur Gea (rating 1616 vs 1528).
- Arthur Gea is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Arthur Gea makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Arthur Gea | Nishesh Basavareddy | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.7 | 1.5-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.2-10.3 | 13.2-12.5 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 74.4% | 67.7% |
| Break % | 62% | 55.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1.2
Over 22.5: 58% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 42% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arthur Gea
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Clement Chidekh US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 25/08 | Sumit Nagal US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/08 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/08 | Coleman Wong ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/07 | Francisco Cerundolo ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 30/07 | Michael Zheng ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 29/07 | Soonwoo Kwon ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 19/07 | Aleksandar Vukic Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Murphy Cassone Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/07 | Liam Draxl Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
Nishesh Basavareddy
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Luka Mikrut US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Moise Kouame US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 18/08 | Andrea Pellegrino Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 27/05 | Alex Michelsen French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 18-22 | L |
| 24/05 | Taylor Fritz French Open · Clay |
3-1 | 26-20 | W |
| 19/05 | Jaume Munar ATP Geneva · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/05 | Kilian Feldbausch ATP Geneva · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/05 | Daniel Elahi Galan ATP Geneva · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/05 | Tomas Barrios Vera Challenger Oeiras · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Oeiras · Clay |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arthur Gea vs Nishesh Basavareddy?
Our model gives 59% to Arthur Gea, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.