Prediction: Vilius Gaubas vs Harry Wendelken
Team pages: Vilius Gaubas · Harry Wendelken
Prediction summary
Winner
Vilius Gaubas
Harry Wendelken
Estimated games
22.9Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Vilius Gaubas
6-4 (W-L)
Harry Wendelken
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vilius Gaubas 1515 · Harry Wendelken 1502
| Vilius Gaubas | Harry Wendelken | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Vilius Gaubas | Harry Wendelken | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (2) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 1.1-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-10.3 | 12.8-14.4 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 69.1% | 65.2% |
| Break % | 37.9% | 41.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9 · Bet365 line 23.5 · -0.6
Over 23.5: 46% · 1.83
Under 23.5: 54% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vilius Gaubas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Marco Cecchinato US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/08 | Kilian Feldbausch US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/08 | Max Houkes Challenger Hagen · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 01/08 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 30/07 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/07 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 21/07 | Pablo Carreno Busta ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Jesper De Jong ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 09/07 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Harry Wendelken
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Remy Bertola US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 24/08 | Stefano Travaglia US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 14/08 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 14/08 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 11/08 | Borna Gojo Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Michael Mmoh Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Keegan Rice Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 30/06 | Valentin Royer Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 15-22 | L |
| 20/06 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vilius Gaubas vs Harry Wendelken?
Our model gives 52% to Vilius Gaubas, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.