Prediction: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Francesco Passaro
Team pages: Shintaro Mochizuki · Francesco Passaro
Prediction summary
Winner
Shintaro Mochizuki
Francesco Passaro
Estimated games
22.4Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Shintaro Mochizuki
3-7 (W-L)
Francesco Passaro
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Shintaro Mochizuki
0–1
Francesco Passaro
(1 last)
- 07 Feb0-2 7-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shintaro Mochizuki 1503 · Francesco Passaro 1519
| Shintaro Mochizuki | Francesco Passaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Shintaro Mochizuki 0–1 Francesco Passaro (1).
- Note: Shintaro Mochizuki makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Shintaro Mochizuki | Francesco Passaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-11.9 | 11.8-12 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 6 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 68.8% | 73.2% |
| Break % | 46.6% | 43.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4 · Bet365 line 23.5 · -1.1
Over 23.5: 42% · 1.83
Under 23.5: 58% · 1.83
H2H · Shintaro Mochizuki 0 – 1 Francesco Passaro (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shintaro Mochizuki 0–1 Francesco Passaro
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/23 Challenger Tenerife | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shintaro Mochizuki
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Braden Shick US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/08 | Daniel Milavsky US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/08 | Soonwoo Kwon Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 12/08 | Jeffrey John Wolf ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 04/08 | Fabian Marozsan ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Dane Sweeny ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 30/07 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Charles Broom Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 25/07 | Liam Draxl Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 25/07 | Johannus Monday Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Francesco Passaro
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Tom Gentzsch US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/08 | Felix Gill US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/08 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/08 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 27/07 | Jan Choinski Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Dominic Stephan Stricker Challenger Zug · Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 13/07 | Martin Krumich ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Maks Kasnikowski ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Henri Squire Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shintaro Mochizuki vs Francesco Passaro?
Our model gives 50% to Shintaro Mochizuki, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.