Tennis · US Open · 27/08, 17:00

Prediction: Coleman Wong vs Dusan Lajovic

Team pages: Coleman Wong · Dusan Lajovic

Prediction summary
Winner
60% 40%
Coleman Wong Dusan Lajovic
Estimated games
23.8Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Coleman Wong 7-3 (W-L)
WLWWWWWLLW
Dusan Lajovic 5-5 (W-L)
WWLWLLLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Coleman Wong 1563 · Dusan Lajovic 1537
Coleman WongDusan Lajovic
Our model54%46%
Market65%35%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Dusan Lajovic dominates on serve: 6 aces and 42.5% break avg.
  • Note: Coleman Wong makes many double faults (4.2/match).

Statistics

Coleman WongDusan Lajovic
Win %70%60%
Win % · Hard 70% (10) 67% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.81.6-1.2
Games (G-P)12-10.414.1-14
Aces9.86
Double faults4.22.2
1st serve %77.2%73.7%
Break %30.1%42.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.8 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1.3
Over 22.5: 59% · 1.80 Under 22.5: 41% · 1.90

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Coleman Wong

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/08 Lukas Neumayer
US Open · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
24/08 Elmer Moller
US Open · Hard
2-1 17-14 W
22/08 Sebastian Baez
Challenger Cancun · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
21/08 Alan Magadan
Challenger Cancun · Hard
2-1 14-16 W
19/08 Alexandre Muller
Challenger Cancun · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
14/08 Daniel Altmaier
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
1-2 13-15 L
13/08 Otto Virtanen
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 14-12 W
11/08 Seong Chan Hong
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
01/08 Arthur Gea
ATP Los Cabos · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
31/07 Jenson Brooksby
ATP Los Cabos · Hard
2-0 13-6 W

Dusan Lajovic

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/08 David Jorda Sanchis
US Open · Hard
2-0 14-11 W
18/08 Taro Daniel
Challenger Quebec City · Hard
1-2 13-15 L
17/08 Alexander Rozin
Challenger Quebec City · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
13/08 Luca Van Assche
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
1-2 15-15 L
11/08 Benjamin Bonzi
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-1 16-18 W
08/08 Edas Butvilas
Challenger Lexington · Hard
1-2 11-18 L
07/08 Abedallah Shelbayh
Challenger Lexington · Hard
2-1 15-16 W
05/08 Lloyd Harris
Challenger Lexington · Hard
2-1 12-13 W
04/08 James McCabe
Challenger Lexington · Hard
2-1 18-13 W
13/07 Luca Van Assche
ATP Umag · Clay
1-2 15-15 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Coleman Wong vs Dusan Lajovic?

Our model gives 60% to Coleman Wong, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.