Prediction: Mohamed Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri
Team pages: Mohamed Aziz Dougaz · Andrea Guerrieri
Prediction summary
Winner
Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
Andrea Guerrieri
Estimated games
23.3Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
8-2 (W-L)
Andrea Guerrieri
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
0–1
Andrea Guerrieri
(1 last)
- 30 Jan0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mohamed Aziz Dougaz 1584 · Andrea Guerrieri 1556
| Mohamed Aziz Dougaz | Andrea Guerrieri | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Mohamed Aziz Dougaz dominates on serve: 8.4 aces and 46.4% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Mohamed Aziz Dougaz 0–1 Andrea Guerrieri (1).
- Note: Mohamed Aziz Dougaz makes many double faults (4.2/match).
- Note: Andrea Guerrieri makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Mohamed Aziz Dougaz | Andrea Guerrieri | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.8 | 1.4-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.4-10.8 | 12.4-11.4 |
| Aces | 8.4 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 79.3% | 69.1% |
| Break % | 46.4% | 31.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +0.8
Over 22.5: 55% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 45% · 1.83
H2H · Mohamed Aziz Dougaz 0 – 1 Andrea Guerrieri (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mohamed Aziz Dougaz 0–1 Andrea Guerrieri
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/01/20 M15 Monastir | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Kyrian Jacquet US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 24/08 | Federico Agustin Gomez US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/08 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Astana · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Sergey Fomin Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 14/08 | Jie Cui Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 13/08 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/08 | Alec Deckers Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 06/08 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 04/08 | Mirza Basic Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/08 | Dimitris Sakellaridis Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Andrea Guerrieri
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Joel Schwaerzler US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 24/08 | August Holmgren US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 18/08 | Soonwoo Kwon Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Alexander Donski Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 09/08 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/08 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 12-13 | W |
| 07/08 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 05/08 | Viktor Durasovic Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 04/08 | Olle Wallin Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/07 | Federico Agustin Gomez ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mohamed Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri?
Our model gives 54% to Mohamed Aziz Dougaz, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.