Prediction: Daniel Rincon vs Tomas Barrios Vera
Team pages: Daniel Rincon · Tomas Barrios Vera
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniel Rincon
Tomas Barrios Vera
Estimated games
25Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Daniel Rincon
3-7 (W-L)
Tomas Barrios Vera
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniel Rincon 1520 · Tomas Barrios Vera 1476
| Daniel Rincon | Tomas Barrios Vera | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daniel Rincon (rating 1520 vs 1476).
Statistics
| Daniel Rincon | Tomas Barrios Vera | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.3 | 1.2-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.7-14.1 | 13.3-12.8 |
| Aces | 5.4 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 69.7% | 67.6% |
| Break % | 40.1% | 37% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +3.5
Over 21.5: 73% · 1.80
Under 21.5: 27% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel Rincon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Jordan Lee US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 24/08 | Titouan Droguet US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 04/08 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 27/07 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger San Marino · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 22/07 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Zug · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 20/07 | Thomas Faurel Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 11/07 | Jan Choinski Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Laslo Djere Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 08/07 | Sebastian Ofner Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 07/07 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Tomas Barrios Vera
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/08 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 17-9 | W |
| 20/08 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Dylan Dietrich Challenger Zug · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 14/07 | Niels Visker Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 25/06 | Dane Sweeny Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 24-23 | L |
| 24/06 | Paul Jubb Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 22/06 | Marco Cecchinato Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniel Rincon vs Tomas Barrios Vera?
Our model gives 52% to Tomas Barrios Vera, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.