Tennis · M25 Taipei · 26/08, 03:30
Prediction: Kasidit Samrej vs Yuki Mochizuki
Team pages: Kasidit Samrej · Yuki Mochizuki
Prediction summary
Winner
Kasidit Samrej
Yuki Mochizuki
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Kasidit Samrej
5-5 (W-L)
Yuki Mochizuki
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Kasidit Samrej
2–2
Yuki Mochizuki
(4 last)
- 28 Oct2-0 12-7W
- 25 Jul1-2 14-15L
- 15 May1-2 11-15L
- 02 Jun2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kasidit Samrej 1527 · Yuki Mochizuki 1497
| Kasidit Samrej | Yuki Mochizuki | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Kasidit Samrej makes many double faults (6.1/match).
Statistics
| Kasidit Samrej | Yuki Mochizuki | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-11.9 | 10.4-9.2 |
| Aces | 7 | 3 |
| Double faults | 6.1 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 74.7% | 70.3% |
| Break % | 36% | 38.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
H2H · Kasidit Samrej 2 – 2 Yuki Mochizuki (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kasidit Samrej 2–2 Yuki Mochizuki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10/25 Challenger Seoul | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/07/25 M15 Nakhon Pathom | 1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 15/05/24 ITF M25 Luan | 1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 02/06/22 ITF M25 Chiang Rai | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kasidit Samrej
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Sergey Fomin Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Kokoro Isomura Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 04/08 | Egor Pleshivtsev M15 Astana |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 29/07 | Riku Takahata M15 Astana |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 09/07 | Makoto Ochi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Riku Takahata M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/07 | Sanhui Shin M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 03/07 | Shintaro Imai M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 02/07 | Taisei Ichikawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/07 | Yu Tanaka M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Yuki Mochizuki
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Hiromasa Koyama M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Fanming Meng M15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 08/08 | Donghyun Hwang M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/08 | Tsung-Hao Huang M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/08 | Ruochen Gao M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/08 | Jaesung Choe M15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 23/07 | Moerani Bouzige M15 Brisbane |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 22/07 | Charlie Camus M15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Chase Ferguson M25 Brisbane |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kasidit Samrej vs Yuki Mochizuki?
Our model gives 62% to Kasidit Samrej, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.