Tennis · M25 Taipei · 28/08, 04:00
Prediction: Kristjan Tamm vs Matthew Dellavedova
Team pages: Kristjan Tamm · Matthew Dellavedova
Prediction summary
Winner
Kristjan Tamm
Matthew Dellavedova
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Kristjan Tamm
5-5 (W-L)
Matthew Dellavedova
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kristjan Tamm 1551 · Matthew Dellavedova 1603
| Kristjan Tamm | Matthew Dellavedova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matthew Dellavedova (rating 1551 vs 1603).
Statistics
| Kristjan Tamm | Matthew Dellavedova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 86% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.7-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-10.3 | 12.3-8.4 |
| Aces | 5.7 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 69% | 69.5% |
| Break % | 39.9% | 47.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kristjan Tamm
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Arthur Weber M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Ren Nakamura M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/08 | Noritaka Koizumi M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/08 | Hugo Hashimoto M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/08 | Oscar Weightman M15 Turku |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Arda Azkara M15 Turku |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 11/08 | Oren Vasser M15 Turku |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 02/08 | Amit Vales Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Leyton Rivera M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Filip Peliwo M15 Vaasa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Matthew Dellavedova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Tai Leonard Sach M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/08 | Keisuke Saitoh M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/08 | Yu Hsiou Hsu M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Shunsuke Mitsui M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/08 | Tai Leonard Sach M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/08 | Hiromasa Koyama M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/08 | Jeffrey Hsu M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 15/08 | Kousuke Ogura M15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 14/08 | Shinji Hazawa M15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 13/08 | Matthew Shearer M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kristjan Tamm vs Matthew Dellavedova?
Our model gives 71% to Matthew Dellavedova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.