Tennis · M25 Taipei · 30/08, 04:00
Prediction: Kuan-Shou Chen vs Matthew Dellavedova
Team pages: Kuan-Shou Chen · Matthew Dellavedova
Prediction summary
Winner
Kuan-Shou Chen
Matthew Dellavedova
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Kuan-Shou Chen
4-6 (W-L)
Matthew Dellavedova
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kuan-Shou Chen 1525 · Matthew Dellavedova 1628
| Kuan-Shou Chen | Matthew Dellavedova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matthew Dellavedova (rating 1525 vs 1628).
- Matthew Dellavedova is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Kuan-Shou Chen | Matthew Dellavedova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 89% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.7-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-10 | 11.9-6.6 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 1 |
| 1st serve % | 62.4% | 71.7% |
| Break % | 59.7% | 54.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kuan-Shou Chen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Luca Castelnuovo M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 28/08 | Hyeon Chung M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 27/08 | Omar Jasika M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Ryuki Matsuda M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/08 | Yu Hsiou Hsu M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Yen-Chun Wang M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-4 | W |
| 08/04 | Tianhui Zhang M25 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 31/03 | Max Basing M25 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 24/03 | Thanapet Chanta M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/11 | Kristjan Tamm Challenger Taipei · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Matthew Dellavedova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Kasidit Samrej M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/08 | Kristjan Tamm M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/08 | Tai Leonard Sach M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/08 | Keisuke Saitoh M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/08 | Yu Hsiou Hsu M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Shunsuke Mitsui M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/08 | Tai Leonard Sach M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/08 | Hiromasa Koyama M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/08 | Jeffrey Hsu M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 15/08 | Kousuke Ogura M15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kuan-Shou Chen vs Matthew Dellavedova?
Our model gives 72% to Matthew Dellavedova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.