Tennis · M25 Taipei · 27/08, 04:00
Prediction: Kasidit Samrej vs Kai-I Wang
Team pages: Kasidit Samrej · Kai-I Wang
Prediction summary
Winner
Kasidit Samrej
Kai-I Wang
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Kasidit Samrej
5-5 (W-L)
Kai-I Wang
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kasidit Samrej 1533 · Kai-I Wang 1443
| Kasidit Samrej | Kai-I Wang | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kasidit Samrej (rating 1533 vs 1443).
- Kasidit Samrej is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Kasidit Samrej makes many double faults (6.7/match).
- Note: Kai-I Wang makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Kasidit Samrej | Kai-I Wang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-12.3 | 10.8-12.4 |
| Aces | 7.1 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 6.7 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 74.4% | 62.1% |
| Break % | 36.5% | 34.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kasidit Samrej
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Yuki Mochizuki M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/08 | Sergey Fomin Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Kokoro Isomura Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 04/08 | Egor Pleshivtsev M15 Astana |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 29/07 | Riku Takahata M15 Astana |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 09/07 | Makoto Ochi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Riku Takahata M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/07 | Sanhui Shin M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 03/07 | Shintaro Imai M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 02/07 | Taisei Ichikawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Kai-I Wang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Ryota Tanuma M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 18/08 | Yu Hsiou Hsu M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Ryotaro Taguchi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Jaesung Choe M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-10 | L |
| 27/05 | Shintaro Imai M15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 19/05 | Ashton Mcleod M15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-11 | L |
| 06/03 | Fitriadi M Rifqi M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 05/03 | Yuki Mochizuki M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 04/03 | Haoyuan Huang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kasidit Samrej vs Kai-I Wang?
Our model gives 78% to Kasidit Samrej, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.