Tennis · M25 Taipei · 28/08, 04:00
Prediction: Kasidit Samrej vs Yan Cheng Chen
Team pages: Kasidit Samrej · Yan Cheng Chen
Prediction summary
Winner
Kasidit Samrej
Yan Cheng Chen
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Kasidit Samrej
5-5 (W-L)
Yan Cheng Chen
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kasidit Samrej 1539 · Yan Cheng Chen 1514
| Kasidit Samrej | Yan Cheng Chen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Kasidit Samrej makes many double faults (6.6/match).
- Note: Yan Cheng Chen makes many double faults (5.9/match).
Statistics
| Kasidit Samrej | Yan Cheng Chen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-11.8 | 11.4-10.6 |
| Aces | 6.9 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 6.6 | 5.9 |
| 1st serve % | 74.7% | 67.2% |
| Break % | 37.8% | 41.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kasidit Samrej
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Kai-I Wang M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Yuki Mochizuki M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/08 | Sergey Fomin Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Kokoro Isomura Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 04/08 | Egor Pleshivtsev M15 Astana |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 29/07 | Riku Takahata M15 Astana |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 09/07 | Makoto Ochi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Riku Takahata M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/07 | Sanhui Shin M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 03/07 | Shintaro Imai M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Yan Cheng Chen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Sanhui Shin M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Yen-Chun Wang M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Fitriadi M Rifqi M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Min Hyuk Cho M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 08/07 | Arvid Nordquist M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 30/06 | Tianhui Zhang M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-1 | 6-7 | L |
| 03/06 | Yuichiro Inui M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/05 | Tianhui Zhang M15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 30/05 | Shintaro Imai M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kasidit Samrej vs Yan Cheng Chen?
Our model gives 72% to Kasidit Samrej, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.