Tennis · M25 Taipei · 26/08, 06:30
Prediction: Kousuke Ogura vs Omar Jasika
Team pages: Kousuke Ogura · Omar Jasika
Prediction summary
Winner
Kousuke Ogura
Omar Jasika
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Kousuke Ogura
1-9 (W-L)
Omar Jasika
10-0 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Kousuke Ogura
0–2
Omar Jasika
(2 last)
- 16 Aug0-2 8-13L
- 08 Jul1-2 10-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kousuke Ogura 1491 · Omar Jasika 1615
| Kousuke Ogura | Omar Jasika | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 67% |
| Market | 14% | 86% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Omar Jasika (rating 1491 vs 1615).
- Omar Jasika is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Kousuke Ogura 0–2 Omar Jasika (2).
Statistics
| Kousuke Ogura | Omar Jasika | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.9-0.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-11.3 | 11.7-4.9 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 62.9% | 74.3% |
| Break % | 39.5% | 63.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
H2H · Kousuke Ogura 0 – 2 Omar Jasika (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kousuke Ogura 0–2 Omar Jasika
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08/26 M15 Tianjin | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/07/26 M15 Tokyo | 1-2 | 10-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kousuke Ogura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Tomohiro Masabayashi M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-9 | W |
| 20/08 | Hiroki Moriya M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Omar Jasika M15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 14/08 | Duckhee Lee M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/08 | Mikalai Haliak M15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 9-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Yuta Kikuchi M15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 22/07 | Taiki Takizawa M15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Jeremy Beale M25 Brisbane |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Omar Jasika M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
Omar Jasika
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Ryuki Matsuda M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/08 | Kousuke Ogura M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/08 | Yunseong Chung M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/08 | Miles Jones M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/08 | Jaesung Choe M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 9-2 | W |
| 12/08 | Seongwoo Cho M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/08 | Hayden Jones UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/08 | Zane Stevens UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/08 | Alec Gaudin UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 04/08 | Sam Ryan Ziegann UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kousuke Ogura vs Omar Jasika?
Our model gives 77% to Omar Jasika, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.