Tennis · M25 Taipei · 26/08, 04:00
Prediction: Kai-I Wang vs Ryota Tanuma
Team pages: Kai-I Wang · Ryota Tanuma
Prediction summary
Winner
Kai-I Wang
Ryota Tanuma
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Kai-I Wang
5-5 (W-L)
Ryota Tanuma
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kai-I Wang 1415 · Ryota Tanuma 1584
| Kai-I Wang | Ryota Tanuma | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 73% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ryota Tanuma (rating 1415 vs 1584).
- Ryota Tanuma is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Kai-I Wang makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Kai-I Wang | Ryota Tanuma | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 22% (9) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.7 | 1.6-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-12.6 | 11.1-6.6 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 61.1% | 76.1% |
| Break % | 33.2% | 37.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kai-I Wang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Yu Hsiou Hsu M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Ryotaro Taguchi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Jaesung Choe M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-10 | L |
| 27/05 | Shintaro Imai M15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 19/05 | Ashton Mcleod M15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-11 | L |
| 06/03 | Fitriadi M Rifqi M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 05/03 | Yuki Mochizuki M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 04/03 | Haoyuan Huang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/12 | Arthur Weber ITF M15 Phan Thiet |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Ryota Tanuma
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Noritaka Koizumi M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Corban Crowther UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/08 | Takumi Katsuda UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/08 | Eita Suzuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 06/08 | Ryosuke Inagawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/08 | Kanata Ozaki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/08 | Kai Milburn UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 19/07 | Naoki Nakagawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Ryotaro Matsumura UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 18/07 | Taiyo Kurata UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kai-I Wang vs Ryota Tanuma?
Our model gives 81% to Ryota Tanuma, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.