Tennis · M25 Taipei · 26/08, 04:00
Prediction: Keisuke Saitoh vs Matthew Dellavedova
Team pages: Keisuke Saitoh · Matthew Dellavedova
Prediction summary
Winner
Keisuke Saitoh
Matthew Dellavedova
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Keisuke Saitoh
5-5 (W-L)
Matthew Dellavedova
9-1 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Keisuke Saitoh
1–0
Matthew Dellavedova
(1 last)
- 20 May2-0 13-9W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Keisuke Saitoh 1500 · Matthew Dellavedova 1620
| Keisuke Saitoh | Matthew Dellavedova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 67% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matthew Dellavedova (rating 1500 vs 1620).
- Matthew Dellavedova is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Keisuke Saitoh 1–0 Matthew Dellavedova (1).
Statistics
| Keisuke Saitoh | Matthew Dellavedova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (4) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-11.7 | 12.6-9.1 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 0.9 |
| 1st serve % | 68.6% | 69.9% |
| Break % | 41.5% | 48.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
H2H · Keisuke Saitoh 1 – 0 Matthew Dellavedova (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Keisuke Saitoh 1–0 Matthew Dellavedova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05/26 M15 Gimcheon | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Keisuke Saitoh
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Tsung-Hao Huang M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Sam Ryan Ziegann M15 Bali |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 31/07 | Sanhui Shin M15 Bali |
2-1 | 19-12 | W |
| 30/07 | Rafalentino Ali Da Costa M15 Bali |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 28/07 | Daniel Bagnolini M15 Bali |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/07 | Alexander Chang M15 Bali |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Ren Nakamura M15 Bali |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/06 | Hunter Heck M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-9 | L |
| 17/06 | Kousuke Ogura M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 29/05 | Alan Magadan M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Matthew Dellavedova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Yu Hsiou Hsu M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Shunsuke Mitsui M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/08 | Tai Leonard Sach M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/08 | Hiromasa Koyama M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/08 | Jeffrey Hsu M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 15/08 | Kousuke Ogura M15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 14/08 | Shinji Hazawa M15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 13/08 | Matthew Shearer M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 12/08 | Daniil Sarksian M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/08 | Yuki Mochizuki M15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Keisuke Saitoh vs Matthew Dellavedova?
Our model gives 65% to Matthew Dellavedova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.