Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 19/08, 17:00
Prediction: Sorana Cirstea vs Jessica Pegula
Team pages: Sorana Cirstea · Jessica Pegula
Prediction summary
Winner
Sorana Cirstea
Jessica Pegula
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Sorana Cirstea
7-3 (W-L)
Jessica Pegula
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sorana Cirstea
0–1
Jessica Pegula
(1 last)
- 30 Apr0-2 9-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sorana Cirstea 1530 · Jessica Pegula 1585
| Sorana Cirstea | Jessica Pegula | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jessica Pegula (rating 1530 vs 1585).
- Head-to-head: Sorana Cirstea 0–1 Jessica Pegula (1).
Statistics
| Sorana Cirstea | Jessica Pegula | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-9.6 | 12.1-9.7 |
| Aces | 4 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 3 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 66.2% | 68% |
| Break % | 42.9% | 54.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
H2H · Sorana Cirstea 0 – 1 Jessica Pegula (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sorana Cirstea 0–1 Jessica Pegula
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/04/21 WTA Madrid | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sorana Cirstea
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/08 | Maya Joint WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Linda Noskova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 02/07 | Kimberly Birrell Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Sara Bejlek Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/06 | Emma Raducanu WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Maddison Inglis WTA Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 02/06 | Mirra Andreeva French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Xiyu Wang French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/05 | Solana Sierra French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
Jessica Pegula
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Emma Navarro WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/08 | Simona Waltert WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/08 | Diana Shnaider WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/08 | Magdalena Frech WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 03/08 | Alexandra Eala WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 01/08 | Diana Shnaider WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/07 | Anna Kalinskaya WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/07 | Magdalena Frech WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 07/07 | Coco Gauff Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sorana Cirstea vs Jessica Pegula?
Our model gives 66% to Jessica Pegula, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.