Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 19/08, 19:00
Prediction: Diana Shnaider vs Elena Rybakina
Team pages: Diana Shnaider · Elena Rybakina
Prediction summary
Winner
Diana Shnaider
Elena Rybakina
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Diana Shnaider
7-3 (W-L)
Elena Rybakina
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Diana Shnaider
0–1
Elena Rybakina
(1 last)
- 16 Apr0-2 7-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Diana Shnaider 1570 · Elena Rybakina 1598
| Diana Shnaider | Elena Rybakina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 36% | 64% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Diana Shnaider 0–1 Elena Rybakina (1).
- Note: Elena Rybakina makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Diana Shnaider | Elena Rybakina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 78% (9) | 88% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-8.7 | 12.9-10.7 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 6.2 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 64.4% | 74% |
| Break % | 46.1% | 39.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
H2H · Diana Shnaider 0 – 1 Elena Rybakina (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Diana Shnaider 0–1 Elena Rybakina
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/04/26 WTA Stuttgart | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Diana Shnaider
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Maja Chwalinska WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/08 | Tatjana Maria WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Iga Swiatek WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Jessica Pegula WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Anna Kalinskaya WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/08 | Rebecca Sramkova WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 01/08 | Jessica Pegula WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/07 | Anastasia Potapova WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/07 | Ludmilla Samsonova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Elena Rybakina
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Magdalena Frech WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/08 | Taylor Townsend WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/08 | Iga Swiatek WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Coco Gauff WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 12/08 | Naomi Osaka WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 09/08 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 07/08 | Ann Li WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/08 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 04/07 | Elise Mertens Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Caty McNally Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Diana Shnaider vs Elena Rybakina?
Our model gives 59% to Elena Rybakina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.