Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 19/08, 17:00
Prediction: Iga Swiatek vs Diane Parry
Team pages: Iga Swiatek · Diane Parry
Prediction summary
Winner
Iga Swiatek
Diane Parry
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Iga Swiatek
7-3 (W-L)
Diane Parry
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Iga Swiatek
1–0
Diane Parry
(1 last)
- 29 Jul2-0 12-2W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Iga Swiatek 1631 · Diane Parry 1521
| Iga Swiatek | Diane Parry | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 94% | 6% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Iga Swiatek (rating 1631 vs 1521).
- Iga Swiatek is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Iga Swiatek 1–0 Diane Parry (1).
- Note: Diane Parry makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Iga Swiatek | Diane Parry | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (8) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.5 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-6.3 | 11.5-11.3 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 3 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 68.8% | 71% |
| Break % | 58.3% | 39.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
H2H · Iga Swiatek 1 – 0 Diane Parry (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Iga Swiatek 1–0 Diane Parry
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07/24 Olympics 2024 - Women | 2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Iga Swiatek
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Maria Sakkari WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 16/08 | Emiliana Arango WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/08 | Elena Rybakina WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/08 | Elina Svitolina WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 11/08 | Diana Shnaider WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/08 | Marta Kostyuk WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 06/08 | Viktorija Golubic WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/08 | Sara Bejlek WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/07 | Alexandra Eala Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Karolina Pliskova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Diane Parry
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Lois Boisson WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 16/08 | Elise Mertens WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 13/08 | Caroline Dolehide WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/08 | Kayla Day WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 21/07 | Mai Hontama WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Anna Kalinskaya Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 29/06 | Francesca Jones Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/06 | Irina-Camelia Begu WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 20/06 | Aoi Ito WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/06 | Linda Noskova WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Iga Swiatek vs Diane Parry?
Our model gives 81% to Iga Swiatek, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.