Tennis · M25 Taipei · 18/08, 04:00

Prediction: Yuki Mochizuki vs Hiromasa Koyama

Team pages: Yuki Mochizuki · Hiromasa Koyama

Prediction summary
Winner
62% 38%
Yuki Mochizuki Hiromasa Koyama
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Yuki Mochizuki 6-4 (W-L)
LLWWWWWWLL
Hiromasa Koyama 5-5 (W-L)
LWWWLLWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yuki Mochizuki 1508 · Hiromasa Koyama 1475
Yuki MochizukiHiromasa Koyama
Our model55%45%
Market69%31%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Yuki MochizukiHiromasa Koyama
Win %50%40%
Win % · Hard 0% (1) 44% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.11-1.3
Games (G-P)10.5-9.310.1-11.6
Aces3.61.4
Double faults2.72.4
1st serve %71.2%62.6%
Break %41.5%44.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yuki Mochizuki

WWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/08 Fanming Meng
M15 Tianjin
0-2 4-12 L
09/08 Matthew Dellavedova
M15 Tianjin
1-2 9-15 L
08/08 Donghyun Hwang
M15 Tianjin
2-0 12-6 W
07/08 Tsung-Hao Huang
M15 Tianjin
2-0 12-3 W
06/08 Ruochen Gao
M15 Tianjin
2-0 12-2 W
04/08 Jaesung Choe
M15 Tianjin
2-1 16-11 W
23/07 Moerani Bouzige
M15 Brisbane
1-2 13-14 L
22/07 Charlie Camus
M15 Brisbane
2-0 12-5 W
14/07 Chase Ferguson
M25 Brisbane
0-2 6-12 L
10/07 Omar Jasika
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L

Hiromasa Koyama

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
17/08 Manish Sureshkumar
M25 Taipei · ~Hard
2-1 8-9 W
08/07 Matthew Dellavedova
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
0-2 6-13 L
30/06 Yusuke Takahashi
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
15/06 Jesse Delaney
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
1-2 11-12 L
10/06 Hayden Jones
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
0-2 10-13 L
06/06 Youssef Kadiri Hassani
M15 Harmon · ~Hard
1-2 15-18 L
05/06 Colin Sinclair
M15 Harmon · ~Hard
2-0 14-12 W
04/06 Hoyoung Roh
M15 Harmon · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W
03/06 Adrian Arcon
M15 Harmon · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
30/05 Jake Delaney
M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yuki Mochizuki vs Hiromasa Koyama?

Our model gives 62% to Yuki Mochizuki, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.