Tennis · M25 Taipei · 19/08, 04:00
Prediction: Hiroki Moriya vs Kousuke Ogura
Team pages: Hiroki Moriya · Kousuke Ogura
Prediction summary
Winner
Hiroki Moriya
Kousuke Ogura
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Hiroki Moriya
4-6 (W-L)
Kousuke Ogura
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hiroki Moriya 1444 · Kousuke Ogura 1469
| Hiroki Moriya | Kousuke Ogura | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Hiroki Moriya | Kousuke Ogura | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (8) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-12.2 | 10.5-12.3 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 70.9% | 65.3% |
| Break % | 44.4% | 39.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hiroki Moriya
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Jay Friend Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Patrick Maloney Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Thomas Fancutt Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 12/07 | Andreja Petrovic Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 07/07 | Jason Jung Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 05/07 | Alex Martinez Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 29/06 | Edward Winter Challenger Cary · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 20/06 | Hoyoung Roh M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Uisung Park M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Kousuke Ogura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Omar Jasika M15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 14/08 | Duckhee Lee M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/08 | Mikalai Haliak M15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 9-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Yuta Kikuchi M15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 22/07 | Taiki Takizawa M15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Jeremy Beale M25 Brisbane |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Omar Jasika M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Sanhui Shin M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Keisuke Saitoh M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hiroki Moriya vs Kousuke Ogura?
Our model gives 61% to Hiroki Moriya, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.