Tennis · M25 Taipei · 19/08, 04:00

Prediction: Moerani Bouzige vs Shunsuke Mitsui

Team pages: Moerani Bouzige · Shunsuke Mitsui

Prediction summary
Winner
35% 65%
Moerani Bouzige Shunsuke Mitsui
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Moerani Bouzige 4-6 (W-L)
LLLLLWWWWL
Shunsuke Mitsui 6-4 (W-L)
WLLWWLWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Moerani Bouzige 1535 · Shunsuke Mitsui 1589
Moerani BouzigeShunsuke Mitsui
Our model42%58%
Market29%71%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shunsuke Mitsui (rating 1535 vs 1589).
  • Moerani Bouzige dominates on serve: 7.1 aces and 48.2% break avg.

Statistics

Moerani BouzigeShunsuke Mitsui
Win %60%80%
Win % · Hard 0% (1) 50% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.4-11.6-0.7
Games (G-P)12.6-10.913-9.8
Aces7.12.5
Double faults2.43
1st serve %69.9%71.4%
Break %48.2%45.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 22

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Moerani Bouzige

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/08 Omar Jasika
M15 Brisbane
0-2 9-13 L
01/08 Jake Delaney
M15 Brisbane
2-0 12-6 W
31/07 Shinji Hazawa
M15 Brisbane
2-0 13-7 W
30/07 Zane Stevens
M15 Brisbane
2-0 13-10 W
29/07 Nikita Volonski
M15 Brisbane
2-0 12-4 W
24/07 Matt Hulme
M15 Brisbane
0-2 9-13 L
23/07 Yuki Mochizuki
M15 Brisbane
2-1 14-13 W
21/07 Mustafa Ege Sik
M15 Brisbane
2-1 16-13 W
15/07 Matt Hulme
M25 Brisbane
1-2 15-14 L
08/07 Yuki Mochizuki
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
1-2 13-16 L

Shunsuke Mitsui

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/08 Sidharth Rawat
Challenger Astana · Hard
0-2 11-14 L
09/08 Pawit Sornlaksup
Challenger Astana · Hard
2-1 14-16 W
09/08 Damir Zhalgasbay
M15 Astana
2-0 13-7 W
08/08 Egor Pleshivtsev
M15 Astana
2-0 12-2 W
08/08 Shintaro Imai
M15 Astana
2-1 16-12 W
07/08 Taiyo Yamanaka
M15 Astana
2-0 14-10 W
06/08 Yu Tanaka
M15 Astana
2-0 13-9 W
31/07 Petr Bar Biryukov
M15 Astana
0-2 7-13 L
30/07 Danial Rakhmatullayev
M15 Astana
2-1 18-12 W
29/07 Ansar Niyetkaliyev
M15 Astana
2-0 12-3 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Moerani Bouzige vs Shunsuke Mitsui?

Our model gives 65% to Shunsuke Mitsui, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.