Tennis · Challenger Kingston · 17/08, 19:00
Prediction: Miguel Tobon vs Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
Team pages: Miguel Tobon · Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
Prediction summary
Winner
Miguel Tobon
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
Estimated games
24.8
Recent form · 10 last
Miguel Tobon
3-7 (W-L)
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Miguel Tobon 1455 · Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos 1563
| Miguel Tobon | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos (rating 1455 vs 1563).
- Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Miguel Tobon | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 17% (6) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.7 | 1.5-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-14.3 | 13.9-12.5 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 68% | 70% |
| Break % | 50.9% | 33.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Miguel Tobon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Lorenzo Claverie Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 26/07 | Bernard Tomic ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 20/07 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Challenger Segovia · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 13/07 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 30/06 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Martin Krumich Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 15/06 | Ryan Seggerman Challenger Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 14/06 | Yanaki Milev Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/06 | Alexander Vasilev Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Perugia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Matt Kuhar Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 08/08 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves M25 Londrina |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Carlos Maria Zarate M25 Londrina |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 06/08 | Salvador Price M25 Londrina |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/08 | Nicolas Zanellato M25 Londrina |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 04/08 | Wilson Leite M25 Londrina |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 31/07 | Mateus Alves M15 Sao Paulo |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 30/07 | Nicolas Oliveira M15 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 29/07 | Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi M15 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/07 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves M25 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Miguel Tobon vs Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos?
Our model gives 55% to Miguel Tobon, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.