Tennis · Challenger Kingston · 26/08, 17:00
Prediction: Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos vs Andres Martin
Team pages: Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos · Andres Martin
Prediction summary
Winner
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
Andres Martin
Estimated games
23.6
Recent form · 10 last
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
9-1 (W-L)
Andres Martin
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos 1613 · Andres Martin 1557
| Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | Andres Martin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos (rating 1613 vs 1557).
Statistics
| Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | Andres Martin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (3) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.9 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.5-12.1 | 13.5-10.2 |
| Aces | 6.6 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 72.9% | 72.3% |
| Break % | 39.6% | 50.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Alex Hernandez Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/08 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/08 | Matt Kuhar Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 08/08 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves M25 Londrina |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Carlos Maria Zarate M25 Londrina |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 06/08 | Salvador Price M25 Londrina |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/08 | Nicolas Zanellato M25 Londrina |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 04/08 | Wilson Leite M25 Londrina |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 31/07 | Mateus Alves M15 Sao Paulo |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 30/07 | Nicolas Oliveira M15 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
Andres Martin
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Gijs Brouwer Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 11/08 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 07/08 | Spencer Johnson Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 07/08 | Millen Hurrion Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 05/08 | Nicolas Arseneault Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/08 | Trevor Svajda Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/08 | Alex Kobelt Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/07 | Ugo Humbert ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Moez Echargui ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/07 | Christopher O'Connell ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos vs Andres Martin?
Our model gives 60% to Andres Martin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.