Tennis · Challenger Kingston · 26/08, 20:00
Prediction: Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Andy Andrade
Team pages: Ivan Marrero Curbelo · Andy Andrade
Prediction summary
Winner
Ivan Marrero Curbelo
Andy Andrade
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Ivan Marrero Curbelo
4-6 (W-L)
Andy Andrade
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ivan Marrero Curbelo
0–1
Andy Andrade
(1 last)
- 14 Mar0-2 3-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ivan Marrero Curbelo 1543 · Andy Andrade 1518
| Ivan Marrero Curbelo | Andy Andrade | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Ivan Marrero Curbelo 0–1 Andy Andrade (1).
- Note: Andy Andrade makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Ivan Marrero Curbelo | Andy Andrade | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-11.1 | 11.9-11.8 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 67.9% | 68.9% |
| Break % | 45.1% | 53.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
H2H · Ivan Marrero Curbelo 0 – 1 Andy Andrade (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ivan Marrero Curbelo 0–1 Andy Andrade
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/24 ITF M25 Santo Domingo | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ivan Marrero Curbelo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Blaise Bicknell Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 17/08 | Lucas Andrade da Silva Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Lev Seidman Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 07/08 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 04/08 | Filip Peliwo Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 23/07 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Facundo Mena Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/07 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 19/07 | Enrique Collar Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Andy Andrade
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Edward Winter Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/08 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 18/08 | Liam Draxl Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/08 | Jack Pinnington Jones Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 14/08 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/08 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 03/08 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Braden Shick Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Alexei Popyrin Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 29/06 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Andy Andrade?
Our model gives 61% to Andy Andrade, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.