Tennis · Challenger Kingston · 26/08, 18:30
Prediction: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Team pages: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez · Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Prediction summary
Winner
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
5-5 (W-L)
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mario Gonzalez Fernandez 1536 · Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez 1509
| Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-10.6 | 11.5-10.4 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 68.1% | 71.7% |
| Break % | 38.4% | 28% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Mitchell Krueger Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 24/08 | Matt Kuhar Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/08 | Calum Puttergill Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/08 | Roger Pascual Ferra Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Aryan Shah M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 05/08 | Ander Tarrio Ponte M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/07 | Keegan Smith Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 13/07 | Dominik Palan Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 12/07 | S D Prajwal Dev Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Paul Jubb Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/08 | Sebastian Baez Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Tomas Barrios Vera Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/08 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Roger Pascual Ferra Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/07 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Sho Shimabukuro ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 07/07 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Quito · Clay |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 02/07 | Segundo Goity Zapico Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez?
Our model gives 66% to Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.