Tennis · Challenger Kingston · 26/08, 20:00
Prediction: Juan Pablo Ficovich vs Miguel Tobon
Team pages: Juan Pablo Ficovich · Miguel Tobon
Prediction summary
Winner
Juan Pablo Ficovich
Miguel Tobon
Estimated games
24.6
Recent form · 10 last
Juan Pablo Ficovich
3-7 (W-L)
Miguel Tobon
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Juan Pablo Ficovich
1–1
Miguel Tobon
(2 last)
- 17 Mar1-2 14-15L
- 19 Apr2-0 12-1W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juan Pablo Ficovich 1431 · Miguel Tobon 1488
| Juan Pablo Ficovich | Miguel Tobon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Miguel Tobon (rating 1431 vs 1488).
Statistics
| Juan Pablo Ficovich | Miguel Tobon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (5) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.8 | 1.1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-14.4 | 13.2-13.5 |
| Aces | 4 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 66% | 71.6% |
| Break % | 34% | 51.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.6
H2H · Juan Pablo Ficovich 1 – 1 Miguel Tobon (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Juan Pablo Ficovich 1–1 Miguel Tobon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/03/26 Challenger Morelos | 1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 19/04/25 Challenger San Luis Potosi | 2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juan Pablo Ficovich
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Evan Zhu Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 18/08 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Mert Alkaya Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Aziz Ouakaa Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 08/07 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 01/07 | Ozan Baris Challenger Cary · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 22/06 | Keegan Smith Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Nicolas Mejia Challenger Dublin · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 07/06 | Martin Damm ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Thijmen Loof ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Miguel Tobon
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Pietro Orlando Fellin Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/08 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/08 | Lorenzo Claverie Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 26/07 | Bernard Tomic ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 20/07 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Challenger Segovia · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 13/07 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 30/06 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Martin Krumich Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 15/06 | Ryan Seggerman Challenger Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 14/06 | Yanaki Milev Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juan Pablo Ficovich vs Miguel Tobon?
Our model gives 54% to Miguel Tobon, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.