Tennis · Challenger Kingston · 26/08, 17:00
Prediction: Thomas Fancutt vs Luis Guto Miguel
Team pages: Thomas Fancutt · Luis Guto Miguel
Prediction summary
Winner
Thomas Fancutt
Luis Guto Miguel
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Thomas Fancutt
8-2 (W-L)
Luis Guto Miguel
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Thomas Fancutt 1544 · Luis Guto Miguel 1535
| Thomas Fancutt | Luis Guto Miguel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Thomas Fancutt | Luis Guto Miguel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-11 | 10.9-9.7 |
| Aces | 5.5 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 75.5% | 76.1% |
| Break % | 60.5% | 48.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thomas Fancutt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Karl Poling Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/08 | Bruno Kuzuhara Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/08 | Enmanuel Munoz Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/08 | Karl Poling M25 East Lansing |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 11/08 | Lincoln Battle M25 East Lansing |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 14/07 | Jie Cui Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 12/07 | Kaylan Bigun Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 23/06 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
Luis Guto Miguel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Tyler Zink Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/08 | Valentin Royer Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 15/05 | Manuel Mazza M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 14/05 | Petr Nesterov M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/05 | Giorgio Tabacco M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/05 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Santos · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/05 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Challenger Santos · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/05 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Santos · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/05 | Wilson Leite Challenger Santos · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/04 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thomas Fancutt vs Luis Guto Miguel?
Our model gives 54% to Luis Guto Miguel, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.