Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 18/08, 17:00
Prediction: Marta Kostyuk vs Sloane Stephens
Team pages: Marta Kostyuk · Sloane Stephens
Prediction summary
Winner
Marta Kostyuk
Sloane Stephens
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Marta Kostyuk
7-3 (W-L)
Sloane Stephens
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marta Kostyuk 1563 · Sloane Stephens 1539
| Marta Kostyuk | Sloane Stephens | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Marta Kostyuk makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Marta Kostyuk | Sloane Stephens | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-8.9 | 10.7-9.8 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 4 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 75.9% | 60.9% |
| Break % | 57.4% | 41.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marta Kostyuk
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Sofia Kenin WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 08/08 | Iga Swiatek WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 06/08 | Madison Keys WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Katherine Sebov WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Linda Noskova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Jasmine Paolini Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/07 | Ashlyn Krueger Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/07 | Emma Navarro Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 02/07 | Anna Blinkova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 30/06 | Nadia Podoroska Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Sloane Stephens
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Anastasia Potapova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/08 | Sinja Kraus WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/08 | Belinda Bencic WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Solana Sierra WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/08 | Harriet Dart WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 31/07 | Darja Vidmanova WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Yulia Starodubtsewa WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 23/07 | Renata Zarazua W100 Evansville |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 22/07 | BoYoung Jeong W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/05 | Sara Bejlek French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marta Kostyuk vs Sloane Stephens?
Our model gives 69% to Marta Kostyuk, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.