Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 18/08, 17:00
Prediction: Coco Gauff vs Ann Li
Team pages: Coco Gauff · Ann Li
Prediction summary
Winner
Coco Gauff
Ann Li
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Coco Gauff
6-4 (W-L)
Ann Li
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Coco Gauff
1–0
Ann Li
(1 last)
- 26 Apr2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Coco Gauff 1578 · Ann Li 1490
| Coco Gauff | Ann Li | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Coco Gauff (rating 1578 vs 1490).
- Coco Gauff is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Coco Gauff 1–0 Ann Li (1).
- Note: Coco Gauff makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Coco Gauff | Ann Li | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (5) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.9 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.2-11 | 10.9-11.4 |
| Aces | 5.1 | 4.8 |
| Double faults | 5.5 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 70.7% | 68.6% |
| Break % | 45.6% | 50.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
H2H · Coco Gauff 1 – 0 Ann Li (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Coco Gauff 1–0 Ann Li
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/25 WTA Madrid | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Coco Gauff
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 13/08 | Elena Rybakina WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 09/08 | Alina Korneeva WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/08 | Maria Sakkari WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/08 | Kayla Day WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/07 | Karolina Muchova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 07/07 | Jessica Pegula Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 05/07 | Belinda Bencic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 03/07 | Claire Liu Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 01/07 | Solana Sierra Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Ann Li
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Shuai Zhang WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/08 | Elena Rybakina WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Kayla Cross WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/07 | Magdalena Frech WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Alina Korneeva WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Maria Timofeeva WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/06 | Zeynep Sonmez Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 23/06 | Ekaterina Alexandrova WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 19/06 | Viktorija Golubic WTA Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 18/06 | Taylah Preston WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Coco Gauff vs Ann Li?
Our model gives 74% to Coco Gauff, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.