Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 18/08, 19:00
Prediction: Sara Bejlek vs Ekaterina Alexandrova
Team pages: Sara Bejlek · Ekaterina Alexandrova
Prediction summary
Winner
Sara Bejlek
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Sara Bejlek
7-3 (W-L)
Ekaterina Alexandrova
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sara Bejlek
1–1
Ekaterina Alexandrova
(2 last)
- 07 Feb2-0 13-7W
- 16 Dec0-2 2-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sara Bejlek 1563 · Ekaterina Alexandrova 1545
| Sara Bejlek | Ekaterina Alexandrova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 47% | 53% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Ekaterina Alexandrova makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Sara Bejlek | Ekaterina Alexandrova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-8.6 | 13-11.7 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 4.9 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 59.8% | 65.5% |
| Break % | 45.6% | 42.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
H2H · Sara Bejlek 1 – 1 Ekaterina Alexandrova (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sara Bejlek 1–1 Ekaterina Alexandrova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/26 WTA Abu Dhabi | 2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/12/22 Czech Republic Extraliga Women | 0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sara Bejlek
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/08 | Karolina Pliskova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/08 | Iga Swiatek WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Xiyu Wang WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 24/07 | Lilli Tagger WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Maria Timofeeva WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/07 | Anna Blinkova WTA Prague · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 17/07 | Clara Tauson WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Lilli Tagger WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/07 | Viktoria Morvayova WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
Ekaterina Alexandrova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Anna Blinkova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 11/08 | Elina Svitolina WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 09/08 | Aryna Sabalenka WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 06/08 | Talia Gibson WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 04/08 | Maria Camila Osorio WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/07 | Iva Jovic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 01/07 | Lanlana Tararudee Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 29/06 | Panna Udvardy Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Naomi Osaka WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Mirra Andreeva WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sara Bejlek vs Ekaterina Alexandrova?
Our model gives 50% to Sara Bejlek, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.