Tennis · Challenger Kingston · 17/08, 18:00
Prediction: Kenta Miyoshi vs Roger Pascual Ferra
Team pages: Kenta Miyoshi · Roger Pascual Ferra
Prediction summary
Winner
Kenta Miyoshi
Roger Pascual Ferra
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Kenta Miyoshi
9-1 (W-L)
Roger Pascual Ferra
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kenta Miyoshi 1590 · Roger Pascual Ferra 1554
| Kenta Miyoshi | Roger Pascual Ferra | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Kenta Miyoshi | Roger Pascual Ferra | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.5 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-8.6 | 11.5-8.7 |
| Aces | 5.8 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 73.8% | 62.7% |
| Break % | 44.5% | 43.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kenta Miyoshi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Arklon Huertas del Pino Cordova Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 07/08 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 06/08 | Mert Alkaya Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/08 | Arda Azkara Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/08 | Hunter Heck Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/08 | Erik Arutiunian Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/08 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 31/07 | Vadym Ursu Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Dan Added Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 28/07 | Shunsuke Nakagawa Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Roger Pascual Ferra
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/08 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Aidan Mayo ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Colton Smith ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 23/07 | Andres Martin Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/07 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/07 | Matt Kuhar Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/06 | Mathys Picard M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 27/06 | Charles Bertimon M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kenta Miyoshi vs Roger Pascual Ferra?
Our model gives 57% to Kenta Miyoshi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.