Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 18/08, 16:00

Prediction: Janice Tjen vs Mirra Andreeva

Team pages: Janice Tjen · Mirra Andreeva

Prediction summary
Winner
28% 72%
Janice Tjen Mirra Andreeva
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Janice Tjen 5-5 (W-L)
LLLLWWWWLW
Mirra Andreeva 8-2 (W-L)
WWWWLWWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Janice Tjen 1448 · Mirra Andreeva 1555
Janice TjenMirra Andreeva
Our model35%65%
Market22%78%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mirra Andreeva (rating 1448 vs 1555).
  • Mirra Andreeva is in better form: 70% recent wins.

Statistics

Janice TjenMirra Andreeva
Win %30%70%
Win % · Grass 17% (6) 33% (3)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.51.5-0.6
Games (G-P)11.3-13.311.2-7
Aces3.53.6
Double faults3.82.8
1st serve %66.4%68.2%
Break %24%56.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Janice Tjen

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/08 Viktorija Golubic
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
2-1 19-18 W
03/08 Ludmilla Samsonova
WTA Toronto · Hard
0-2 11-14 L
30/07 Anna Kalinskaya
WTA Washington · Hard
1-2 15-14 L
28/07 Rebecca Sramkova
WTA Washington · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
01/07 Daria Kasatkina
Wimbledon Women · Grass
1-2 12-18 L
29/06 Leylah Annie Fernandez
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 13-7 W
23/06 Caty McNally
WTA Eastbourne · Grass
1-2 15-19 L
15/06 Tatjana Maria
WTA Nottingham · Grass
0-2 5-12 L
09/06 Greet Minnen
WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass
0-2 7-13 L
04/06 Ashlyn Krueger
WTA Birmingham · Grass
0-2 4-12 L

Mirra Andreeva

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/08 Oleksandra Oliynykova
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 12-1 W
07/08 Leylah Annie Fernandez
WTA Toronto · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
05/08 Karolina Pliskova
WTA Toronto · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
01/07 Barbora Krejcikova
Wimbledon Women · Grass
1-2 15-17 L
29/06 Magda Linette
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 13-9 W
24/06 Ekaterina Alexandrova
WTA Bad Homburg · Grass
0-2 7-12 L
06/06 Maja Chwalinska
French Open Women · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
04/06 Marta Kostyuk
French Open Women · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
02/06 Sorana Cirstea
French Open Women · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
31/05 Jil Teichmann
French Open Women · Clay
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Janice Tjen vs Mirra Andreeva?

Our model gives 72% to Mirra Andreeva, using surface Elo on grass.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.