Tennis · Challenger Kingston · 17/08, 16:00
Prediction: Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Lucas Andrade da Silva
Team pages: Ivan Marrero Curbelo · Lucas Andrade da Silva
Prediction summary
Winner
Ivan Marrero Curbelo
Lucas Andrade da Silva
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Ivan Marrero Curbelo
6-4 (W-L)
Lucas Andrade da Silva
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ivan Marrero Curbelo 1574 · Lucas Andrade da Silva 1577
| Ivan Marrero Curbelo | Lucas Andrade da Silva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Lucas Andrade da Silva dominates on serve: 7.3 aces and 48% break avg.
- Note: Lucas Andrade da Silva makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Ivan Marrero Curbelo | Lucas Andrade da Silva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-10 | 13.4-10 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 7.3 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 69.2% | 78.4% |
| Break % | 41.9% | 48% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ivan Marrero Curbelo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Lev Seidman Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 07/08 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 04/08 | Filip Peliwo Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 23/07 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Facundo Mena Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/07 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 19/07 | Enrique Collar Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/06 | Keshav Chopra M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/06 | Nicolas Tepmahc M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Lucas Andrade da Silva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Pietro Orlando Fellin Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/07 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves M25 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Juan Estevez M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/07 | Mateus Alves M25 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 21/07 | Benjamin Torrealba M25 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 10/07 | Matias Soto Challenger Bogota · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 08/07 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 07/07 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/07 | Federico Zeballos Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/07 | Segundo Goity Zapico Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Lucas Andrade da Silva?
Our model gives 55% to Lucas Andrade da Silva, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.