Tennis · Challenger Kingston · 18/08, 16:00
Prediction: Harold Mayot vs Gustavo Heide
Team pages: Harold Mayot · Gustavo Heide
Prediction summary
Winner
Harold Mayot
Gustavo Heide
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Harold Mayot
4-6 (W-L)
Gustavo Heide
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Harold Mayot 1476 · Gustavo Heide 1513
| Harold Mayot | Gustavo Heide | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Gustavo Heide makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Harold Mayot | Gustavo Heide | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (6) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-10.9 | 9.7-10.8 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 68.8% | 69.7% |
| Break % | 34.2% | 21.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Harold Mayot
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Filip Pieczonka Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/07 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Liberec · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 24/07 | Dylan Dietrich Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Mika Brunold Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/07 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 14/07 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Alejandro Moro Canas Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Nicolas Moreno De Alboran Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/06 | Thanasi Kokkinakis Challenger Dublin · Grass |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
Gustavo Heide
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Luca Van Assche ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Kilian Feldbausch ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 07/07 | David Poljak Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/07 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 01/07 | Alex Barrena Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Federico Agustin Gomez Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Nicolas Mejia Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Harold Mayot vs Gustavo Heide?
Our model gives 52% to Gustavo Heide, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.