Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 17/08, 20:00
Prediction: Linda Noskova vs Clara Tauson
Team pages: Linda Noskova · Clara Tauson
Prediction summary
Winner
Linda Noskova
Clara Tauson
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Linda Noskova
7-3 (W-L)
Clara Tauson
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Linda Noskova
0–2
Clara Tauson
(2 last)
- 20 Feb0-2 10-13L
- 12 Jan1-2 14-17L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Linda Noskova 1613 · Clara Tauson 1482
| Linda Noskova | Clara Tauson | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 68% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Linda Noskova (rating 1613 vs 1482).
- Clara Tauson dominates on serve: 6.5 aces and 44.7% break avg.
- Linda Noskova is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Linda Noskova 0–2 Clara Tauson (2).
- Note: Linda Noskova makes many double faults (4.5/match).
- Note: Clara Tauson makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Linda Noskova | Clara Tauson | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 88% (8) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-10.2 | 12.2-11.9 |
| Aces | 5.7 | 6.5 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 72.3% | 68.3% |
| Break % | 42.7% | 44.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
H2H · Linda Noskova 0 – 2 Clara Tauson (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Linda Noskova 0–2 Clara Tauson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/02/25 WTA Dubai | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/01/25 Australian Open Women | 1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Linda Noskova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Katie Boulter WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Caty McNally WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/07 | Karolina Muchova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 09/07 | Marta Kostyuk Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Elise Mertens Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/07 | Madison Keys Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/07 | Sorana Cirstea Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 02/07 | Maria Camila Osorio Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 30/06 | Ella Seidel Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Clara Tauson
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Peyton Stearns WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
| 05/08 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Elisabetta Cocciaretto WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 18/07 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Athens · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 17/07 | Sara Bejlek WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/07 | Miriana Tona WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Nao Hibino WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/06 | Maria Sakkari Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Karolina Muchova WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Qinwen Zheng WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Linda Noskova vs Clara Tauson?
Our model gives 68% to Linda Noskova, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.