Tennis · Challenger Kingston · 16/08, 20:00
Prediction: Matt Kuhar vs Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
Team pages: Matt Kuhar · Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
Prediction summary
Winner
Matt Kuhar
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Matt Kuhar
5-5 (W-L)
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matt Kuhar 1431 · Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos 1553
| Matt Kuhar | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 67% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos (rating 1431 vs 1553).
- Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Matt Kuhar makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Matt Kuhar | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.6 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-12.1 | 13.3-12 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 5.7 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 60.8% | 70.3% |
| Break % | 34.4% | 35.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matt Kuhar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Matthew Thomson M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 30/07 | Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Jesse Ruder-Hook M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/07 | Roger Pascual Ferra Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Karl Poling Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 24/06 | Maxwell Exsted M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 18/06 | Neo Niedner M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Karl Kazuma Lee M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Oliver Ojakaar M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Noah Johnston M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves M25 Londrina |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Carlos Maria Zarate M25 Londrina |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 06/08 | Salvador Price M25 Londrina |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/08 | Nicolas Zanellato M25 Londrina |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 04/08 | Wilson Leite M25 Londrina |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 31/07 | Mateus Alves M15 Sao Paulo |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 30/07 | Nicolas Oliveira M15 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 29/07 | Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi M15 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/07 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves M25 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/07 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matt Kuhar vs Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos?
Our model gives 62% to Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.