Tennis · Challenger Kingston · 25/08, 21:30
Prediction: Juan Pablo Ficovich vs Evan Zhu
Team pages: Juan Pablo Ficovich · Evan Zhu
Prediction summary
Winner
Juan Pablo Ficovich
Evan Zhu
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Juan Pablo Ficovich
2-8 (W-L)
Evan Zhu
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juan Pablo Ficovich 1410 · Evan Zhu 1558
| Juan Pablo Ficovich | Evan Zhu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 70% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Evan Zhu (rating 1410 vs 1558).
- Evan Zhu is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Juan Pablo Ficovich | Evan Zhu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (4) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.9 | 1.6-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-14.9 | 11.3-6.9 |
| Aces | 7.6 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 64.4% | 70.3% |
| Break % | 34.4% | 60% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juan Pablo Ficovich
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Mert Alkaya Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Aziz Ouakaa Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 08/07 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 01/07 | Ozan Baris Challenger Cary · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 22/06 | Keegan Smith Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Nicolas Mejia Challenger Dublin · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 07/06 | Martin Damm ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Thijmen Loof ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 18/05 | Stefano Travaglia French Open · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
Evan Zhu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Joshua Sheehy Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 23/08 | Arjun Kadhe Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/08 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/08 | Tauheed Browning Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/08 | Timo Legout M25 Southaven |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Maximus Dussault M25 Southaven |
2-0 | 11-1 | W |
| 07/08 | Patrick Maloney M25 Southaven |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/08 | Cooper Woestendick M25 Southaven |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Joshua Peck M25 Southaven |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juan Pablo Ficovich vs Evan Zhu?
Our model gives 61% to Evan Zhu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.