Tennis · Challenger Kingston · 24/08, 17:00
Prediction: Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Blaise Bicknell
Team pages: Ivan Marrero Curbelo · Blaise Bicknell
Prediction summary
Winner
Ivan Marrero Curbelo
Blaise Bicknell
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Ivan Marrero Curbelo
5-5 (W-L)
Blaise Bicknell
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ivan Marrero Curbelo 1542 · Blaise Bicknell 1447
| Ivan Marrero Curbelo | Blaise Bicknell | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ivan Marrero Curbelo (rating 1542 vs 1447).
- Ivan Marrero Curbelo is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Ivan Marrero Curbelo | Blaise Bicknell | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 25% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-10.4 | 12.3-13.8 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 69.4% | 66.8% |
| Break % | 43.3% | 30.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ivan Marrero Curbelo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Lucas Andrade da Silva Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Lev Seidman Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 07/08 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 04/08 | Filip Peliwo Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 23/07 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Facundo Mena Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/07 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 19/07 | Enrique Collar Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/06 | Keshav Chopra M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Blaise Bicknell
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Max Purcell Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 29/07 | Benjamin Bonzi Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 16/07 | Murphy Cassone Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 14/07 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Timo Legout Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Karl Poling Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 03/06 | Johannus Monday Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 25/05 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 08/05 | Calvin Hemery Challenger Brazzaville · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 06/05 | Aditya Vishal Balsekar Challenger Brazzaville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Blaise Bicknell?
Our model gives 52% to Ivan Marrero Curbelo, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.