Tennis · Challenger Kingston · 16/08, 17:00
Prediction: Lucas Andrade da Silva vs Pietro Orlando Fellin
Team pages: Lucas Andrade da Silva · Pietro Orlando Fellin
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucas Andrade da Silva
Pietro Orlando Fellin
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Lucas Andrade da Silva
4-6 (W-L)
Pietro Orlando Fellin
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucas Andrade da Silva 1542 · Pietro Orlando Fellin 1587
| Lucas Andrade da Silva | Pietro Orlando Fellin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pietro Orlando Fellin (rating 1542 vs 1587).
- Lucas Andrade da Silva dominates on serve: 6.9 aces and 45.7% break avg.
- Note: Lucas Andrade da Silva makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Lucas Andrade da Silva | Pietro Orlando Fellin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-10.5 | 12.9-11.1 |
| Aces | 6.9 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 74.2% | 69.4% |
| Break % | 45.7% | 38.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucas Andrade da Silva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves M25 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Juan Estevez M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/07 | Mateus Alves M25 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 21/07 | Benjamin Torrealba M25 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 10/07 | Matias Soto Challenger Bogota · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 08/07 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 07/07 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/07 | Federico Zeballos Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/07 | Segundo Goity Zapico Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/06 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Quito · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Pietro Orlando Fellin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Luca Potenza Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 05/07 | Johannes Ingildsen Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/07 | Matyas Cerny M15 Umag · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Veljko Krstic M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 30/06 | Radovan Michalik M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 21/06 | Nico Hipfl M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/06 | Khumoyun Sultanov M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Abel Forger M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 17/06 | Tomas Lanik M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 12/06 | Attila Dominik Boros M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucas Andrade da Silva vs Pietro Orlando Fellin?
Our model gives 51% to Lucas Andrade da Silva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.